MEITAV INVESTMENTS (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2849.0
| MTAV Stock | 2,915 42.00 1.42% |
MEITAV |
MEITAV INVESTMENTS Target Price Odds to finish below 2849.0
The tendency of MEITAV Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 2,849 or more in 90 days |
| 2,915 | 90 days | 2,849 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of MEITAV INVESTMENTS to drop to 2,849 or more in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This MEITAV INVESTMENTS HOUSE probability density function shows the probability of MEITAV Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of MEITAV INVESTMENTS HOUSE price to stay between 2,849 and its current price of 2915.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MEITAV INVESTMENTS has a beta of 0.6. This indicates as returns on the market go up, MEITAV INVESTMENTS average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding MEITAV INVESTMENTS HOUSE will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally MEITAV INVESTMENTS HOUSE has an alpha of 0.8664, implying that it can generate a 0.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). MEITAV INVESTMENTS Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for MEITAV INVESTMENTS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MEITAV INVESTMENTS HOUSE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.MEITAV INVESTMENTS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. MEITAV INVESTMENTS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the MEITAV INVESTMENTS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold MEITAV INVESTMENTS HOUSE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of MEITAV INVESTMENTS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 381.96 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.36 |
MEITAV INVESTMENTS Technical Analysis
MEITAV INVESTMENTS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. MEITAV Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of MEITAV INVESTMENTS HOUSE. In general, you should focus on analyzing MEITAV Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
MEITAV INVESTMENTS Predictive Forecast Models
MEITAV INVESTMENTS's time-series forecasting models is one of many MEITAV INVESTMENTS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary MEITAV INVESTMENTS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards MEITAV INVESTMENTS in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, MEITAV INVESTMENTS's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from MEITAV INVESTMENTS options trading.