Munivest Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 7.44
| MVF Fund | USD 7.34 0.05 0.68% |
Munivest |
Munivest Fund Target Price Odds to finish below 7.44
The tendency of Munivest Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 7.44 after 90 days |
| 7.34 | 90 days | 7.44 | about 63.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Munivest Fund to stay under $ 7.44 after 90 days from now is about 63.53 (This Munivest Fund probability density function shows the probability of Munivest Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Munivest Fund price to stay between its current price of $ 7.34 and $ 7.44 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.92 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Munivest Fund has a beta of 0.0177. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Munivest Fund average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Munivest Fund will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Munivest Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Munivest Fund Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Munivest Fund
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Munivest Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Munivest Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Munivest Fund Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Munivest Fund is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Munivest Fund's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Munivest Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Munivest Fund within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Munivest Fund Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Munivest Fund for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Munivest Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Munivest Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock MuniVest Fund, Inc. Shares Sold by Rivernorth Capital Management LLC - MarketBeat | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% |
Munivest Fund Technical Analysis
Munivest Fund's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Munivest Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Munivest Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Munivest Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Munivest Fund Predictive Forecast Models
Munivest Fund's time-series forecasting models is one of many Munivest Fund's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Munivest Fund's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Munivest Fund
Checking the ongoing alerts about Munivest Fund for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Munivest Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Munivest Fund generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock MuniVest Fund, Inc. Shares Sold by Rivernorth Capital Management LLC - MarketBeat | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% |
Other Information on Investing in Munivest Fund
Munivest Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Munivest Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Munivest with respect to the benefits of owning Munivest Fund security.
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