Asia Pacific (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 38.77

MYTX Stock  IDR 35.00  1.00  2.78%   
Asia Pacific's future price is the expected price of Asia Pacific instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Asia Pacific Investama performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Asia Pacific Backtesting, Asia Pacific Valuation, Asia Pacific Correlation, Asia Pacific Hype Analysis, Asia Pacific Volatility, Asia Pacific History as well as Asia Pacific Performance.
  
Please specify Asia Pacific's target price for which you would like Asia Pacific odds to be computed.

Asia Pacific Target Price Odds to finish over 38.77

The tendency of Asia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  38.77  or more in 90 days
 35.00 90 days 38.77 
about 62.54
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asia Pacific to move over  38.77  or more in 90 days from now is about 62.54 (This Asia Pacific Investama probability density function shows the probability of Asia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asia Pacific Investama price to stay between its current price of  35.00  and  38.77  at the end of the 90-day period is about 28.6 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Asia Pacific has a beta of 0.1. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Asia Pacific average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Asia Pacific Investama will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Asia Pacific Investama has an alpha of 0.111, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Asia Pacific Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Asia Pacific

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asia Pacific Investama. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
32.0635.0037.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.7731.7138.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
30.1033.0535.99
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
33.5940.4347.28
Details

Asia Pacific Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asia Pacific is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asia Pacific's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asia Pacific Investama, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asia Pacific within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.10
σ
Overall volatility
3.66
Ir
Information ratio 0

Asia Pacific Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asia Pacific for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asia Pacific Investama can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asia Pacific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Asia Pacific has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Asia Pacific Investama has accumulated 1.81 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.53, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Asia Pacific Investama has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Asia Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Asia Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Asia Pacific Investama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Asia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Asia Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.7 T. Net Loss for the year was (134.72 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 59.54 B.
About 94.0% of Asia Pacific outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Asia Pacific Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asia Pacific's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asia Pacific's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding7.7 B
Cash And Short Term Investments19.9 B

Asia Pacific Technical Analysis

Asia Pacific's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asia Pacific Investama. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Asia Pacific Predictive Forecast Models

Asia Pacific's time-series forecasting models is one of many Asia Pacific's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asia Pacific's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Asia Pacific Investama

Checking the ongoing alerts about Asia Pacific for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asia Pacific Investama help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Asia Pacific generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Asia Pacific has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
Asia Pacific Investama has accumulated 1.81 T in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 6.53, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Asia Pacific Investama has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Asia Pacific until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Asia Pacific's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Asia Pacific Investama sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Asia to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Asia Pacific's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 1.7 T. Net Loss for the year was (134.72 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 59.54 B.
About 94.0% of Asia Pacific outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Asia Stock

Asia Pacific financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asia Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asia with respect to the benefits of owning Asia Pacific security.