Nuveen Nebraska Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.55

NAAFX Fund  USD 9.95  0.02  0.20%   
Nuveen Nebraska's future price is the expected price of Nuveen Nebraska instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuveen Nebraska Municipal performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuveen Nebraska Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nuveen Nebraska Correlation, Nuveen Nebraska Hype Analysis, Nuveen Nebraska Volatility, Nuveen Nebraska History as well as Nuveen Nebraska Performance.
  
Please specify Nuveen Nebraska's target price for which you would like Nuveen Nebraska odds to be computed.

Nuveen Nebraska Target Price Odds to finish over 9.55

The tendency of Nuveen Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above $ 9.55  in 90 days
 9.95 90 days 9.55 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Nebraska to stay above $ 9.55  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nuveen Nebraska Municipal probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Nebraska Municipal price to stay between $ 9.55  and its current price of $9.95 at the end of the 90-day period is about 97.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nuveen Nebraska Municipal has a beta of -0.1. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nuveen Nebraska are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nuveen Nebraska Municipal is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nuveen Nebraska Municipal has an alpha of 0.0263, implying that it can generate a 0.0263 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nuveen Nebraska Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuveen Nebraska

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Nebraska Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.659.9310.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.279.5510.92
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.649.9210.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.769.839.89
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nuveen Nebraska. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nuveen Nebraska's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nuveen Nebraska's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nuveen Nebraska Municipal.

Nuveen Nebraska Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Nebraska is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Nebraska's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Nebraska Municipal, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Nebraska within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.1
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.41

Nuveen Nebraska Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuveen Nebraska for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuveen Nebraska Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nuveen Nebraska Municipal generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Nuveen Nebraska Technical Analysis

Nuveen Nebraska's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Nebraska Municipal. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuveen Nebraska Predictive Forecast Models

Nuveen Nebraska's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Nebraska's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Nebraska's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuveen Nebraska Municipal

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuveen Nebraska for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuveen Nebraska Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nuveen Nebraska Municipal generated five year return of 0.0%
This fund maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments.

Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Mutual Fund

Nuveen Nebraska financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Nebraska security.
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