Nuveen Arizona Quality Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 11.51

NAZ Fund  USD 12.23  0.10  0.81%   
Nuveen Arizona's future price is the expected price of Nuveen Arizona instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nuveen Arizona Quality performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nuveen Arizona Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Nuveen Arizona Correlation, Nuveen Arizona Hype Analysis, Nuveen Arizona Volatility, Nuveen Arizona History as well as Nuveen Arizona Performance.
  
Please specify Nuveen Arizona's target price for which you would like Nuveen Arizona odds to be computed.

Nuveen Arizona Target Price Odds to finish below 11.51

The tendency of Nuveen Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.51  or more in 90 days
 12.23 90 days 11.51 
about 12.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nuveen Arizona to drop to $ 11.51  or more in 90 days from now is about 12.42 (This Nuveen Arizona Quality probability density function shows the probability of Nuveen Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nuveen Arizona Quality price to stay between $ 11.51  and its current price of $12.23 at the end of the 90-day period is about 79.68 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Nuveen Arizona Quality has a beta of -0.002. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nuveen Arizona are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nuveen Arizona Quality is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nuveen Arizona Quality has an alpha of 0.068, implying that it can generate a 0.068 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nuveen Arizona Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nuveen Arizona

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nuveen Arizona Quality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.4612.2313.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.0113.2414.01
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.3512.1312.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.7412.1412.54
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nuveen Arizona. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nuveen Arizona's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nuveen Arizona's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nuveen Arizona Quality.

Nuveen Arizona Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nuveen Arizona is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nuveen Arizona's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nuveen Arizona Quality, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nuveen Arizona within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.002
σ
Overall volatility
0.28
Ir
Information ratio -0.06

Nuveen Arizona Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nuveen Arizona for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nuveen Arizona Quality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Nuveen Arizona Technical Analysis

Nuveen Arizona's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nuveen Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nuveen Arizona Quality. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nuveen Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nuveen Arizona Predictive Forecast Models

Nuveen Arizona's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nuveen Arizona's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nuveen Arizona's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nuveen Arizona Quality

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nuveen Arizona for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nuveen Arizona Quality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Other Information on Investing in Nuveen Fund

Nuveen Arizona financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nuveen Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nuveen with respect to the benefits of owning Nuveen Arizona security.
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