NBCC (India) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 84.84
| NBCC Stock | 94.43 2.67 2.75% |
NBCC |
NBCC Target Price Odds to finish below 84.84
The tendency of NBCC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 84.84 or more in 90 days |
| 94.43 | 90 days | 84.84 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NBCC to drop to 84.84 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This NBCC Limited probability density function shows the probability of NBCC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NBCC Limited price to stay between 84.84 and its current price of 94.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.28 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NBCC has a beta of 0.84. This indicates as returns on the market go up, NBCC average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding NBCC Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally NBCC Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NBCC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NBCC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NBCC Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NBCC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NBCC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NBCC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NBCC Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NBCC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.84 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.62 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
NBCC Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NBCC for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NBCC Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NBCC Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NBCC Share Price Surges As Company Secures Orders Worth Rs 489.6 Crore - NDTV Profit |
NBCC Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NBCC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NBCC's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NBCC's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 52.6 B |
NBCC Technical Analysis
NBCC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NBCC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NBCC Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing NBCC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NBCC Predictive Forecast Models
NBCC's time-series forecasting models is one of many NBCC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NBCC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NBCC Limited
Checking the ongoing alerts about NBCC for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NBCC Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NBCC Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: NBCC Share Price Surges As Company Secures Orders Worth Rs 489.6 Crore - NDTV Profit |
Additional Tools for NBCC Stock Analysis
When running NBCC's price analysis, check to measure NBCC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NBCC is operating at the current time. Most of NBCC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NBCC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NBCC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NBCC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.