Newcourt Acquisition Corp Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.11
| NCACUDelisted Stock | USD 11.01 0.00 0.00% |
Newcourt |
Newcourt Acquisition Target Price Odds to finish over 12.11
The tendency of Newcourt Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 12.11 or more in 90 days |
| 11.01 | 90 days | 12.11 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Newcourt Acquisition to move over $ 12.11 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Newcourt Acquisition Corp probability density function shows the probability of Newcourt Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Newcourt Acquisition Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 11.01 and $ 12.11 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.46 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Newcourt Acquisition has a beta of 0.0422. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Newcourt Acquisition average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Newcourt Acquisition Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Newcourt Acquisition Corp has an alpha of 0.0537, implying that it can generate a 0.0537 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Newcourt Acquisition Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Newcourt Acquisition
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Newcourt Acquisition Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Newcourt Acquisition's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Newcourt Acquisition Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Newcourt Acquisition is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Newcourt Acquisition's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Newcourt Acquisition Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Newcourt Acquisition within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Newcourt Acquisition Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Newcourt Acquisition for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Newcourt Acquisition Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Newcourt Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Newcourt Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Newcourt Acquisition Corp has accumulated about 306.88 K in cash with (1.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Newcourt Acquisition Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Newcourt Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Newcourt Acquisition's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Newcourt Acquisition's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 128.7 K |
Newcourt Acquisition Technical Analysis
Newcourt Acquisition's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Newcourt Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Newcourt Acquisition Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Newcourt Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Newcourt Acquisition Predictive Forecast Models
Newcourt Acquisition's time-series forecasting models is one of many Newcourt Acquisition's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Newcourt Acquisition's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Newcourt Acquisition Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Newcourt Acquisition for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Newcourt Acquisition Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Newcourt Acquisition is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Newcourt Acquisition has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Newcourt Acquisition Corp has accumulated about 306.88 K in cash with (1.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Other Consideration for investing in Newcourt Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Newcourt Acquisition Corp check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Newcourt Acquisition's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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