Nichirei Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 9.4

NCHEY Stock  USD 12.10  0.00  0.00%   
Nichirei's future price is the expected price of Nichirei instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nichirei performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nichirei Backtesting, Nichirei Valuation, Nichirei Correlation, Nichirei Hype Analysis, Nichirei Volatility, Nichirei History as well as Nichirei Performance.
  
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Nichirei Target Price Odds to finish below 9.4

The tendency of Nichirei Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 9.40  or more in 90 days
 12.10 90 days 9.40 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nichirei to drop to $ 9.40  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Nichirei probability density function shows the probability of Nichirei Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nichirei price to stay between $ 9.40  and its current price of $12.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 70.73 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nichirei has a beta of -0.002. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nichirei are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nichirei is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nichirei has an alpha of 0.0079, implying that it can generate a 0.007916 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Nichirei Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nichirei

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nichirei. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nichirei's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.9512.1012.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.4311.5813.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.9612.1012.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.1012.1012.10
Details

Nichirei Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nichirei is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nichirei's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nichirei, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nichirei within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.002
σ
Overall volatility
0.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.57

Nichirei Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nichirei Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nichirei's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nichirei's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding266.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments23.4 B

Nichirei Technical Analysis

Nichirei's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nichirei Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nichirei. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nichirei Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nichirei Predictive Forecast Models

Nichirei's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nichirei's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nichirei's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Nichirei in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Nichirei's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Nichirei options trading.

Additional Tools for Nichirei Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Nichirei's price analysis, check to measure Nichirei's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nichirei is operating at the current time. Most of Nichirei's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nichirei's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nichirei's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nichirei to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.