Nebraska Municipal Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 9.18
| NEMUX Fund | USD 9.38 0.06 0.64% |
Nebraska |
Nebraska Municipal Target Price Odds to finish over 9.18
The tendency of Nebraska Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 9.18 in 90 days |
| 9.38 | 90 days | 9.18 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nebraska Municipal to stay above $ 9.18 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Nebraska Municipal Fund probability density function shows the probability of Nebraska Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nebraska Municipal price to stay between $ 9.18 and its current price of $9.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.86 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nebraska Municipal Fund has a beta of -0.0769. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nebraska Municipal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nebraska Municipal Fund is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nebraska Municipal Fund has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nebraska Municipal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nebraska Municipal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nebraska Municipal. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nebraska Municipal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nebraska Municipal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nebraska Municipal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nebraska Municipal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nebraska Municipal Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nebraska Municipal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.0075 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.08 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.36 |
Nebraska Municipal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nebraska Municipal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nebraska Municipal can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nebraska Municipal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nebraska Municipal generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
Nebraska Municipal Technical Analysis
Nebraska Municipal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nebraska Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nebraska Municipal Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nebraska Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nebraska Municipal Predictive Forecast Models
Nebraska Municipal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nebraska Municipal's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nebraska Municipal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nebraska Municipal
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nebraska Municipal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nebraska Municipal help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nebraska Municipal generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nebraska Municipal generated five year return of 0.0% | |
| This fund maintains all of the assets in different exotic instruments |
Other Information on Investing in Nebraska Mutual Fund
Nebraska Municipal financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nebraska Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nebraska with respect to the benefits of owning Nebraska Municipal security.
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