New England Realty Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 72.63
| NEN Stock | USD 82.47 0.02 0.02% |
New |
New England Target Price Odds to finish over 72.63
The tendency of New Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 72.63 in 90 days |
| 82.47 | 90 days | 72.63 | about 58.11 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New England to stay above $ 72.63 in 90 days from now is about 58.11 (This New England Realty probability density function shows the probability of New Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New England Realty price to stay between $ 72.63 and its current price of $82.47 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.02 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon New England Realty has a beta of -0.32. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding New England are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, New England Realty is likely to outperform the market. Additionally New England Realty has an alpha of 0.2972, implying that it can generate a 0.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). New England Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New England
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New England Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New England's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New England Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New England is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New England's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New England Realty, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New England within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 10.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
New England Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New England for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New England Realty can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| New England Realty is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
New England Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New England's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New England's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 102.9 M |
New England Technical Analysis
New England's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New England Realty. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New England Predictive Forecast Models
New England's time-series forecasting models is one of many New England's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New England's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New England Realty
Checking the ongoing alerts about New England for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New England Realty help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| New England Realty is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| About 34.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Real Estate Management & Development space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of New England. If investors know New will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about New England listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.819 | Dividend Share 0.4 | Earnings Share 3.87 | Revenue Per Share 22.809 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.057 |
The market value of New England Realty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of New that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of New England's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is New England's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because New England's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect New England's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between New England's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if New England is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, New England's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.