Sompo Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 25.03

NHOLF Stock  USD 25.03  0.00  0.00%   
Sompo Holdings' future price is the expected price of Sompo Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Sompo Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Sompo Holdings Backtesting, Sompo Holdings Valuation, Sompo Holdings Correlation, Sompo Holdings Hype Analysis, Sompo Holdings Volatility, Sompo Holdings History as well as Sompo Holdings Performance.
  
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Sompo Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 25.03

The tendency of Sompo Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 25.03 90 days 25.03 
about 89.52
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sompo Holdings to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 89.52 (This Sompo Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Sompo Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Sompo Holdings has a beta of -0.33. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sompo Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sompo Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sompo Holdings has an alpha of 0.3165, implying that it can generate a 0.32 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Sompo Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Sompo Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sompo Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6725.0327.39
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.3721.7327.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
22.1924.5526.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
20.9223.8926.86
Details

Sompo Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sompo Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sompo Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sompo Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sompo Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.32
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.33
σ
Overall volatility
1.54
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Sompo Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sompo Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sompo Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sompo Holdings has accumulated 539.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Sompo Holdings has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sompo Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sompo Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sompo Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sompo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sompo Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of Sompo Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors

Sompo Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sompo Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sompo Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sompo Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding342.6 M

Sompo Holdings Technical Analysis

Sompo Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sompo Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sompo Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sompo Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Sompo Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

Sompo Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Sompo Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sompo Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Sompo Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about Sompo Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sompo Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Sompo Holdings has accumulated 539.74 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.28, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Sompo Holdings has a current ratio of 0.55, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Sompo Holdings until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Sompo Holdings' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Sompo Holdings sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Sompo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Sompo Holdings' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 56.0% of Sompo Holdings shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Sompo Pink Sheet

Sompo Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Sompo Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Sompo with respect to the benefits of owning Sompo Holdings security.