Nice (Israel) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 64900.0

NICE Stock  ILA 67,910  1,110  1.66%   
Nice's future price is the expected price of Nice instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nice performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nice Backtesting, Nice Valuation, Nice Correlation, Nice Hype Analysis, Nice Volatility, Nice History as well as Nice Performance.
  
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Nice Target Price Odds to finish below 64900.0

The tendency of Nice Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  64,900  or more in 90 days
 67,910 90 days 64,900 
about 47.97
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nice to drop to  64,900  or more in 90 days from now is about 47.97 (This Nice probability density function shows the probability of Nice Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nice price to stay between  64,900  and its current price of 67910.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 36.06 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Nice has a beta of 0.3. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nice average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nice will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nice has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nice Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nice

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nice. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
66,79766,80066,803
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
55,99655,99973,480
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
69,03469,03769,040
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
63,36266,40869,453
Details

Nice Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nice is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nice's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nice, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nice within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.30
σ
Overall volatility
2,864
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Nice Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nice for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nice can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nice had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Nice Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nice Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nice's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nice's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding63.5 M

Nice Technical Analysis

Nice's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nice Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nice. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nice Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nice Predictive Forecast Models

Nice's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nice's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nice's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nice

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nice for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nice help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nice had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Nice Stock

Nice financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nice Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nice with respect to the benefits of owning Nice security.