Nationwide Inflation Protected Securities Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.06
| NIFAX Fund | USD 8.93 0.03 0.34% |
NATIONWIDE |
Nationwide Inflation-protec Target Price Odds to finish below 8.06
The tendency of NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.06 or more in 90 days |
| 8.93 | 90 days | 8.06 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nationwide Inflation-protec to drop to $ 8.06 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Nationwide Inflation Protected Securities probability density function shows the probability of NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nationwide Inflation-protec price to stay between $ 8.06 and its current price of $8.93 at the end of the 90-day period is about 30.89 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nationwide Inflation Protected Securities has a beta of -0.001. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nationwide Inflation-protec are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nationwide Inflation Protected Securities is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nationwide Inflation Protected Securities has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nationwide Inflation-protec Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nationwide Inflation-protec
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nationwide Inflation-protec. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Nationwide Inflation-protec Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nationwide Inflation-protec is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nationwide Inflation-protec's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nationwide Inflation Protected Securities, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nationwide Inflation-protec within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.001 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.51 |
Nationwide Inflation-protec Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nationwide Inflation-protec for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nationwide Inflation-protec can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nationwide Inflation-protec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Nationwide Inflation-protec maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Nationwide Inflation-protec Technical Analysis
Nationwide Inflation-protec's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nationwide Inflation Protected Securities. In general, you should focus on analyzing NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nationwide Inflation-protec Predictive Forecast Models
Nationwide Inflation-protec's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nationwide Inflation-protec's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nationwide Inflation-protec's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nationwide Inflation-protec
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nationwide Inflation-protec for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nationwide Inflation-protec help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nationwide Inflation-protec generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -2.0% | |
| Nationwide Inflation-protec maintains most of the assets in different exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund
Nationwide Inflation-protec financial ratios help investors to determine whether NATIONWIDE Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NATIONWIDE with respect to the benefits of owning Nationwide Inflation-protec security.
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