NKT AS (Denmark) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 540.0

NKT Stock  DKK 503.50  10.00  1.95%   
NKT AS's future price is the expected price of NKT AS instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of NKT AS performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out NKT AS Backtesting, NKT AS Valuation, NKT AS Correlation, NKT AS Hype Analysis, NKT AS Volatility, NKT AS History as well as NKT AS Performance.
  
Please specify NKT AS's target price for which you would like NKT AS odds to be computed.

NKT AS Target Price Odds to finish below 540.0

The tendency of NKT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under kr 540.00  after 90 days
 503.50 90 days 540.00 
about 5.72
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NKT AS to stay under kr 540.00  after 90 days from now is about 5.72 (This NKT AS probability density function shows the probability of NKT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NKT AS price to stay between its current price of kr 503.50  and kr 540.00  at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.92 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon NKT AS has a beta of -0.41. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding NKT AS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, NKT AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally NKT AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   NKT AS Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for NKT AS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NKT AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
501.56503.50505.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
455.34457.27553.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
526.13528.07530.01
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
492.68560.50628.32
Details

NKT AS Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NKT AS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NKT AS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NKT AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NKT AS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.41
σ
Overall volatility
44.95
Ir
Information ratio -0.2

NKT AS Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NKT AS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NKT AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NKT AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

NKT AS Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NKT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NKT AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NKT AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43 M

NKT AS Technical Analysis

NKT AS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NKT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NKT AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing NKT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

NKT AS Predictive Forecast Models

NKT AS's time-series forecasting models is one of many NKT AS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NKT AS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about NKT AS

Checking the ongoing alerts about NKT AS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NKT AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
NKT AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in NKT Stock

NKT AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether NKT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in NKT with respect to the benefits of owning NKT AS security.