New Leaf Ventures Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 118.08
| NLVVF Stock | USD 0 0 42.86% |
New |
New Leaf Target Price Odds to finish over 118.08
The tendency of New Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 118.08 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 118.08 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of New Leaf to move over $ 118.08 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This New Leaf Ventures probability density function shows the probability of New Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of New Leaf Ventures price to stay between its current price of $ 0 and $ 118.08 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 24.83 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, New Leaf will likely underperform. In addition to that New Leaf Ventures has an alpha of 12.1402, implying that it can generate a 12.14 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). New Leaf Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for New Leaf
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as New Leaf Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of New Leaf's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
New Leaf Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. New Leaf is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the New Leaf's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold New Leaf Ventures, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of New Leaf within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 12.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 24.83 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
New Leaf Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of New Leaf for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for New Leaf Ventures can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| New Leaf Ventures is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| New Leaf Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| New Leaf Ventures appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| New Leaf Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 711.49 K. | |
| New Leaf Ventures has accumulated about 62.81 K in cash with (2.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
New Leaf Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of New Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential New Leaf's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. New Leaf's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 51.6 M |
New Leaf Technical Analysis
New Leaf's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. New Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of New Leaf Ventures. In general, you should focus on analyzing New Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
New Leaf Predictive Forecast Models
New Leaf's time-series forecasting models is one of many New Leaf's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary New Leaf's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about New Leaf Ventures
Checking the ongoing alerts about New Leaf for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for New Leaf Ventures help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| New Leaf Ventures is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| New Leaf Ventures has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| New Leaf Ventures appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| New Leaf Ventures has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 2.47 M. Net Loss for the year was (3.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 711.49 K. | |
| New Leaf Ventures has accumulated about 62.81 K in cash with (2.71 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in New Pink Sheet
New Leaf financial ratios help investors to determine whether New Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in New with respect to the benefits of owning New Leaf security.