Nongfu Spring Co Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 17.84
| NNFSF Stock | USD 4.42 0.53 13.62% |
Nongfu |
Nongfu Spring Target Price Odds to finish over 17.84
The tendency of Nongfu Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 17.84 or more in 90 days |
| 4.42 | 90 days | 17.84 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nongfu Spring to move over $ 17.84 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Nongfu Spring Co probability density function shows the probability of Nongfu Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nongfu Spring price to stay between its current price of $ 4.42 and $ 17.84 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.08 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nongfu Spring Co has a beta of -0.18. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nongfu Spring are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nongfu Spring Co is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nongfu Spring Co has an alpha of 0.5092, implying that it can generate a 0.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nongfu Spring Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nongfu Spring
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nongfu Spring. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nongfu Spring's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nongfu Spring Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nongfu Spring is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nongfu Spring's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nongfu Spring Co, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nongfu Spring within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Nongfu Spring Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nongfu Spring for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nongfu Spring can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nongfu Spring had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nongfu Spring Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nongfu Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nongfu Spring's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nongfu Spring's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11.2 B |
Nongfu Spring Technical Analysis
Nongfu Spring's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nongfu Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nongfu Spring Co. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nongfu Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nongfu Spring Predictive Forecast Models
Nongfu Spring's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nongfu Spring's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nongfu Spring's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nongfu Spring
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nongfu Spring for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nongfu Spring help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nongfu Spring had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 65.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Nongfu Pink Sheet
Nongfu Spring financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nongfu Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nongfu with respect to the benefits of owning Nongfu Spring security.