Nippon Yusen Kabushiki Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 6.35
| NPNYY Stock | USD 6.45 0.02 0.31% |
Nippon |
Nippon Yusen Target Price Odds to finish below 6.35
The tendency of Nippon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 6.35 or more in 90 days |
| 6.45 | 90 days | 6.35 | about 15.73 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nippon Yusen to drop to $ 6.35 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.73 (This Nippon Yusen Kabushiki probability density function shows the probability of Nippon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki price to stay between $ 6.35 and its current price of $6.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.64 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nippon Yusen has a beta of 0.18. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nippon Yusen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nippon Yusen Kabushiki will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nippon Yusen Kabushiki has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Nippon Yusen Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Nippon Yusen
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nippon Yusen Kabushiki. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nippon Yusen's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nippon Yusen Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nippon Yusen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nippon Yusen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nippon Yusen Kabushiki, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nippon Yusen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Nippon Yusen Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nippon Yusen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nippon Yusen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Nippon Yusen Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nippon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nippon Yusen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nippon Yusen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 233 B |
Nippon Yusen Technical Analysis
Nippon Yusen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nippon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nippon Yusen Kabushiki. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nippon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nippon Yusen Predictive Forecast Models
Nippon Yusen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nippon Yusen's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nippon Yusen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nippon Yusen Kabushiki
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nippon Yusen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nippon Yusen Kabushiki help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nippon Yusen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Nippon Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Nippon Yusen's price analysis, check to measure Nippon Yusen's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nippon Yusen is operating at the current time. Most of Nippon Yusen's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nippon Yusen's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nippon Yusen's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nippon Yusen to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.