Nokian Renkaat (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.88

NRE Stock  EUR 7.38  0.08  1.10%   
Nokian Renkaat's future price is the expected price of Nokian Renkaat instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Nokian Renkaat Oyj performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Nokian Renkaat Backtesting, Nokian Renkaat Valuation, Nokian Renkaat Correlation, Nokian Renkaat Hype Analysis, Nokian Renkaat Volatility, Nokian Renkaat History as well as Nokian Renkaat Performance.
  
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Nokian Renkaat Target Price Odds to finish over 8.88

The tendency of Nokian Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 8.88  or more in 90 days
 7.38 90 days 8.88 
about 1.05
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nokian Renkaat to move over € 8.88  or more in 90 days from now is about 1.05 (This Nokian Renkaat Oyj probability density function shows the probability of Nokian Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nokian Renkaat Oyj price to stay between its current price of € 7.38  and € 8.88  at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nokian Renkaat Oyj has a beta of -0.21. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Nokian Renkaat are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Nokian Renkaat Oyj is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Nokian Renkaat Oyj has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Nokian Renkaat Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Nokian Renkaat

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nokian Renkaat Oyj. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.717.308.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.786.377.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.787.368.95
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
7.307.407.51
Details

Nokian Renkaat Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nokian Renkaat is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nokian Renkaat's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nokian Renkaat Oyj, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nokian Renkaat within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.19
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.21
σ
Overall volatility
0.39
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Nokian Renkaat Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nokian Renkaat for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nokian Renkaat Oyj can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nokian Renkaat Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Nokian Renkaat Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nokian Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nokian Renkaat's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nokian Renkaat's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding138.2 M

Nokian Renkaat Technical Analysis

Nokian Renkaat's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nokian Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nokian Renkaat Oyj. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nokian Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Nokian Renkaat Predictive Forecast Models

Nokian Renkaat's time-series forecasting models is one of many Nokian Renkaat's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nokian Renkaat's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Nokian Renkaat Oyj

Checking the ongoing alerts about Nokian Renkaat for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nokian Renkaat Oyj help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Nokian Renkaat Oyj generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Nokian Stock

Nokian Renkaat financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nokian Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nokian with respect to the benefits of owning Nokian Renkaat security.