Nomura Holdings Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 6.13
| NRSCF Stock | USD 5.74 0.37 6.06% |
Nomura |
Nomura Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 6.13
The tendency of Nomura Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 6.13 or more in 90 days |
| 5.74 | 90 days | 6.13 | under 4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nomura Holdings to move over $ 6.13 or more in 90 days from now is under 4 (This Nomura Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Nomura Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Nomura Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 5.74 and $ 6.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nomura Holdings has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nomura Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nomura Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nomura Holdings has an alpha of 0.3598, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nomura Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nomura Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nomura Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nomura Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nomura Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nomura Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nomura Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nomura Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nomura Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Nomura Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nomura Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nomura Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nomura Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Nomura Holdings has accumulated about 35.17 T in cash with (1.37 T) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Nomura Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nomura Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nomura Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nomura Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3 B |
Nomura Holdings Technical Analysis
Nomura Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nomura Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nomura Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nomura Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nomura Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Nomura Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nomura Holdings' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nomura Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nomura Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nomura Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nomura Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nomura Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Nomura Holdings has accumulated about 35.17 T in cash with (1.37 T) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Nomura Pink Sheet
Nomura Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Nomura Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Nomura with respect to the benefits of owning Nomura Holdings security.