Song Hong (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4595.67
| NSH Stock | 4,500 100.00 2.17% |
Song |
Song Hong Target Price Odds to finish below 4595.67
The tendency of Song Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 4,596 after 90 days |
| 4,500 | 90 days | 4,596 | about 16.4 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Song Hong to stay under 4,596 after 90 days from now is about 16.4 (This Song Hong Aluminum probability density function shows the probability of Song Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Song Hong Aluminum price to stay between its current price of 4,500 and 4,596 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Song Hong has a beta of 0.21. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Song Hong average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Song Hong Aluminum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Song Hong Aluminum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Song Hong Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Song Hong
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Song Hong Aluminum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Song Hong Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Song Hong is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Song Hong's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Song Hong Aluminum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Song Hong within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 308.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Song Hong Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Song Hong for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Song Hong Aluminum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Song Hong Aluminum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Song Hong Technical Analysis
Song Hong's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Song Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Song Hong Aluminum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Song Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Song Hong Predictive Forecast Models
Song Hong's time-series forecasting models is one of many Song Hong's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Song Hong's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Song Hong Aluminum
Checking the ongoing alerts about Song Hong for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Song Hong Aluminum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Song Hong Aluminum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Song Stock
Song Hong financial ratios help investors to determine whether Song Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Song with respect to the benefits of owning Song Hong security.