Intellia Therapeutics Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 14.65
| NTLA Stock | USD 15.62 0.41 2.70% |
Intellia |
Intellia Therapeutics Target Price Odds to finish over 14.65
The tendency of Intellia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 14.65 in 90 days |
| 15.62 | 90 days | 14.65 | about 89.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Intellia Therapeutics to stay above $ 14.65 in 90 days from now is about 89.85 (This Intellia Therapeutics probability density function shows the probability of Intellia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Intellia Therapeutics price to stay between $ 14.65 and its current price of $15.62 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.16 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.85 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Intellia Therapeutics will likely underperform. Additionally Intellia Therapeutics has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Intellia Therapeutics Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Intellia Therapeutics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Intellia Therapeutics. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Intellia Therapeutics Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Intellia Therapeutics is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Intellia Therapeutics' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Intellia Therapeutics, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Intellia Therapeutics within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.82 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Intellia Therapeutics Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Intellia Therapeutics for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Intellia Therapeutics can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Intellia Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intellia Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (481.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (367.86 M). | |
| Intellia Therapeutics currently holds about 874.28 M in cash with (394.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.5. | |
| Intellia Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Intellia Therapeutics SWOT analysis gene editing firms stock faces pivotal trials |
Intellia Therapeutics Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Intellia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Intellia Therapeutics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Intellia Therapeutics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 912.2 M |
Intellia Therapeutics Technical Analysis
Intellia Therapeutics' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Intellia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Intellia Therapeutics. In general, you should focus on analyzing Intellia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Intellia Therapeutics Predictive Forecast Models
Intellia Therapeutics' time-series forecasting models is one of many Intellia Therapeutics' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Intellia Therapeutics' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Intellia Therapeutics
Checking the ongoing alerts about Intellia Therapeutics for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Intellia Therapeutics help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Intellia Therapeutics generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Intellia Therapeutics has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 36.27 M. Net Loss for the year was (481.19 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (367.86 M). | |
| Intellia Therapeutics currently holds about 874.28 M in cash with (394.09 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 11.5. | |
| Intellia Therapeutics has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 91.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Intellia Therapeutics SWOT analysis gene editing firms stock faces pivotal trials |
Check out Intellia Therapeutics Backtesting, Intellia Therapeutics Valuation, Intellia Therapeutics Correlation, Intellia Therapeutics Hype Analysis, Intellia Therapeutics Volatility, Intellia Therapeutics History as well as Intellia Therapeutics Performance. For information on how to trade Intellia Stock refer to our How to Trade Intellia Stock guide.You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Intellia Therapeutics. If investors know Intellia will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Intellia Therapeutics listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (5.45) | Revenue Per Share 0.449 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.24) | Return On Assets (0.28) | Return On Equity (0.52) |
The market value of Intellia Therapeutics is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Intellia that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Intellia Therapeutics' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Intellia Therapeutics' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Intellia Therapeutics' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Intellia Therapeutics' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Intellia Therapeutics' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Intellia Therapeutics is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Intellia Therapeutics' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.