Numinus Wellness Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0324

NUMIF Stock  USD 0.03  0  3.45%   
Numinus Wellness' future price is the expected price of Numinus Wellness instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Numinus Wellness performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Numinus Wellness Backtesting, Numinus Wellness Valuation, Numinus Wellness Correlation, Numinus Wellness Hype Analysis, Numinus Wellness Volatility, Numinus Wellness History as well as Numinus Wellness Performance.
  
Please specify Numinus Wellness' target price for which you would like Numinus Wellness odds to be computed.

Numinus Wellness Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0324

The tendency of Numinus OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 0.03  or more in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.03 
about 34.79
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Numinus Wellness to move over $ 0.03  or more in 90 days from now is about 34.79 (This Numinus Wellness probability density function shows the probability of Numinus OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Numinus Wellness price to stay between its current price of $ 0.03  and $ 0.03  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.23 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 3.33 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Numinus Wellness will likely underperform. Additionally Numinus Wellness has an alpha of 0.9668, implying that it can generate a 0.97 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Numinus Wellness Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Numinus Wellness

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Numinus Wellness. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0312.55
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0412.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.00080.0412.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.030.030.04
Details

Numinus Wellness Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Numinus Wellness is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Numinus Wellness' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Numinus Wellness, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Numinus Wellness within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.97
β
Beta against Dow Jones3.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.08

Numinus Wellness Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Numinus Wellness for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Numinus Wellness can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Numinus Wellness is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Numinus Wellness has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Numinus Wellness appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Numinus Wellness has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 6.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.78 M.
Numinus Wellness has accumulated about 41.79 M in cash with (26.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Numinus Wellness Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Numinus OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Numinus Wellness' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Numinus Wellness' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding256.2 M

Numinus Wellness Technical Analysis

Numinus Wellness' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Numinus OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Numinus Wellness. In general, you should focus on analyzing Numinus OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Numinus Wellness Predictive Forecast Models

Numinus Wellness' time-series forecasting models is one of many Numinus Wellness' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Numinus Wellness' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Numinus Wellness

Checking the ongoing alerts about Numinus Wellness for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Numinus Wellness help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Numinus Wellness is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Numinus Wellness has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Numinus Wellness appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Numinus Wellness has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 6.49 M. Net Loss for the year was (44.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.78 M.
Numinus Wellness has accumulated about 41.79 M in cash with (26.23 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.17, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Other Information on Investing in Numinus OTC Stock

Numinus Wellness financial ratios help investors to determine whether Numinus OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Numinus with respect to the benefits of owning Numinus Wellness security.