Nova Cannabis Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 1.26
| NVACFDelisted Stock | USD 1.26 0.00 0.00% |
Nova |
Nova Cannabis Target Price Odds to finish below 1.26
The tendency of Nova OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1.26 | 90 days | 1.26 | about 67.85 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Nova Cannabis to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 67.85 (This Nova Cannabis probability density function shows the probability of Nova OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Nova Cannabis has a beta of 0.51. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Nova Cannabis average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Nova Cannabis will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Nova Cannabis has an alpha of 0.5532, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Nova Cannabis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Nova Cannabis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nova Cannabis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nova Cannabis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nova Cannabis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Nova Cannabis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Nova Cannabis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Nova Cannabis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Nova Cannabis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.55 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.51 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.15 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
Nova Cannabis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Nova Cannabis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Nova Cannabis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Nova Cannabis is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Nova Cannabis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nova Cannabis may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Nova Cannabis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 134.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.89 M. | |
| Nova Cannabis has accumulated about 6.22 M in cash with (9.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Nova Cannabis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Nova OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Nova Cannabis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nova Cannabis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 57.1 M |
Nova Cannabis Technical Analysis
Nova Cannabis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Nova OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Nova Cannabis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Nova OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Nova Cannabis Predictive Forecast Models
Nova Cannabis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Nova Cannabis' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Nova Cannabis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Nova Cannabis
Checking the ongoing alerts about Nova Cannabis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Nova Cannabis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Nova Cannabis is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Nova Cannabis generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Nova Cannabis may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Nova Cannabis has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 134.36 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 24.89 M. | |
| Nova Cannabis has accumulated about 6.22 M in cash with (9.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.11. | |
| Roughly 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. Note that the Nova Cannabis information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nova Cannabis' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Other Consideration for investing in Nova OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Nova Cannabis check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Nova Cannabis' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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