Nxp Semiconductors Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 213.06
| NXPI Stock | USD 215.04 0.36 0.17% |
NXP |
NXP Semiconductors Target Price Odds to finish below 213.06
The tendency of NXP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 213.06 or more in 90 days |
| 215.04 | 90 days | 213.06 | nearly 4.89 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of NXP Semiconductors to drop to $ 213.06 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.89 (This NXP Semiconductors NV probability density function shows the probability of NXP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of NXP Semiconductors price to stay between $ 213.06 and its current price of $215.04 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.4 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days NXP Semiconductors has a beta of 0.99. This indicates NXP Semiconductors NV market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, NXP Semiconductors is expected to follow. Additionally NXP Semiconductors NV has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. NXP Semiconductors Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for NXP Semiconductors
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as NXP Semiconductors. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.NXP Semiconductors Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. NXP Semiconductors is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the NXP Semiconductors' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold NXP Semiconductors NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of NXP Semiconductors within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 9.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.07 |
NXP Semiconductors Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of NXP Semiconductors for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for NXP Semiconductors can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| NXP Semiconductors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NXP Semiconductors is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: NXP Semiconductors Outpaces Stock Market Gains What You Should Know |
NXP Semiconductors Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of NXP Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential NXP Semiconductors' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NXP Semiconductors' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 261.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 4.3 B |
NXP Semiconductors Technical Analysis
NXP Semiconductors' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. NXP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of NXP Semiconductors NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing NXP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
NXP Semiconductors Predictive Forecast Models
NXP Semiconductors' time-series forecasting models is one of many NXP Semiconductors' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary NXP Semiconductors' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about NXP Semiconductors
Checking the ongoing alerts about NXP Semiconductors for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for NXP Semiconductors help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| NXP Semiconductors generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| NXP Semiconductors is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from zacks.com: NXP Semiconductors Outpaces Stock Market Gains What You Should Know |
Check out NXP Semiconductors Backtesting, NXP Semiconductors Valuation, NXP Semiconductors Correlation, NXP Semiconductors Hype Analysis, NXP Semiconductors Volatility, NXP Semiconductors History as well as NXP Semiconductors Performance. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NXP Semiconductors. If investors know NXP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NXP Semiconductors listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.07) | Dividend Share 4.056 | Earnings Share 10.47 | Revenue Per Share 50.498 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.05) |
The market value of NXP Semiconductors is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NXP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NXP Semiconductors' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NXP Semiconductors' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NXP Semiconductors' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NXP Semiconductors' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NXP Semiconductors' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NXP Semiconductors is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NXP Semiconductors' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.