Oconee Federal Financial Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 14.65
| OFEDDelisted Stock | USD 15.10 0.45 2.89% |
Oconee |
Oconee Federal Target Price Odds to finish below 14.65
The tendency of Oconee OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 14.65 or more in 90 days |
| 15.10 | 90 days | 14.65 | about 15.68 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oconee Federal to drop to $ 14.65 or more in 90 days from now is about 15.68 (This Oconee Federal Financial probability density function shows the probability of Oconee OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oconee Federal Financial price to stay between $ 14.65 and its current price of $15.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.51 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Oconee Federal Financial has a beta of -0.14. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Oconee Federal are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Oconee Federal Financial is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Oconee Federal Financial has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oconee Federal Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oconee Federal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oconee Federal Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oconee Federal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oconee Federal Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oconee Federal is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oconee Federal's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oconee Federal Financial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oconee Federal within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Oconee Federal Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oconee Federal for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oconee Federal Financial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oconee Federal is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Oconee Federal has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Oconee Federal Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oconee OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oconee Federal's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oconee Federal's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 161 M |
Oconee Federal Technical Analysis
Oconee Federal's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oconee OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oconee Federal Financial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oconee OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oconee Federal Predictive Forecast Models
Oconee Federal's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oconee Federal's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oconee Federal's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oconee Federal Financial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oconee Federal for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oconee Federal Financial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oconee Federal is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Oconee Federal has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| About 78.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. Note that the Oconee Federal Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Oconee Federal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Other Consideration for investing in Oconee OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Oconee Federal Financial check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Oconee Federal's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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