Orthofix Medical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 11.23
| OFIX Stock | USD 17.43 0.24 1.40% |
Orthofix |
Orthofix Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 11.23
The tendency of Orthofix Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.23 or more in 90 days |
| 17.43 | 90 days | 11.23 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orthofix Medical to drop to $ 11.23 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Orthofix Medical probability density function shows the probability of Orthofix Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orthofix Medical price to stay between $ 11.23 and its current price of $17.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.55 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.28 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Orthofix Medical will likely underperform. Additionally Orthofix Medical has an alpha of 0.0856, implying that it can generate a 0.0856 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Orthofix Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Orthofix Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orthofix Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Orthofix Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orthofix Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orthofix Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orthofix Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orthofix Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.51 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.04 |
Orthofix Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orthofix Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orthofix Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 746.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (151.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 337.17 M. | |
| Orthofix Medical currently holds about 59.54 M in cash with (45.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.98. | |
| Orthofix Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Orthofix medical CAO sells 463 in common stock - Investing.com |
Orthofix Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orthofix Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orthofix Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orthofix Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 36.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 33.1 M |
Orthofix Medical Technical Analysis
Orthofix Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orthofix Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orthofix Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orthofix Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orthofix Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Orthofix Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orthofix Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orthofix Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orthofix Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orthofix Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orthofix Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 746.64 M. Net Loss for the year was (151.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 337.17 M. | |
| Orthofix Medical currently holds about 59.54 M in cash with (45.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 2.98. | |
| Orthofix Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 92.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Orthofix medical CAO sells 463 in common stock - Investing.com |
Additional Tools for Orthofix Stock Analysis
When running Orthofix Medical's price analysis, check to measure Orthofix Medical's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orthofix Medical is operating at the current time. Most of Orthofix Medical's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orthofix Medical's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orthofix Medical's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orthofix Medical to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.