Oakhurst Fixed Income Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 7.75
| OHFIX Fund | USD 8.66 0.04 0.46% |
Oakhurst |
Oakhurst Fixed Target Price Odds to finish below 7.75
The tendency of Oakhurst Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 7.75 or more in 90 days |
| 8.66 | 90 days | 7.75 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oakhurst Fixed to drop to $ 7.75 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Oakhurst Fixed Income probability density function shows the probability of Oakhurst Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oakhurst Fixed Income price to stay between $ 7.75 and its current price of $8.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oakhurst Fixed has a beta of 0.0455. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oakhurst Fixed average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oakhurst Fixed Income will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oakhurst Fixed Income has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Oakhurst Fixed Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Oakhurst Fixed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oakhurst Fixed Income. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Oakhurst Fixed Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oakhurst Fixed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oakhurst Fixed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oakhurst Fixed Income, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oakhurst Fixed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.28 |
Oakhurst Fixed Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oakhurst Fixed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oakhurst Fixed Income can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Oakhurst Fixed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 99.29% of its assets in bonds |
Oakhurst Fixed Technical Analysis
Oakhurst Fixed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oakhurst Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oakhurst Fixed Income. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oakhurst Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oakhurst Fixed Predictive Forecast Models
Oakhurst Fixed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oakhurst Fixed's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oakhurst Fixed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oakhurst Fixed Income
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oakhurst Fixed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oakhurst Fixed Income help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Oakhurst Fixed generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund maintains about 99.29% of its assets in bonds |
Other Information on Investing in Oakhurst Mutual Fund
Oakhurst Fixed financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oakhurst Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oakhurst with respect to the benefits of owning Oakhurst Fixed security.
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Share Portfolio Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios |