One Media (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.51

OMIP Stock   4.20  0.20  5.00%   
One Media's future price is the expected price of One Media instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of One Media iP performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out One Media Backtesting, One Media Valuation, One Media Correlation, One Media Hype Analysis, One Media Volatility, One Media History as well as One Media Performance.
  
Please specify One Media's target price for which you would like One Media odds to be computed.

One Media Target Price Odds to finish over 12.51

The tendency of One Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  12.51  or more in 90 days
 4.20 90 days 12.51 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of One Media to move over  12.51  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This One Media iP probability density function shows the probability of One Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of One Media iP price to stay between its current price of  4.20  and  12.51  at the end of the 90-day period is about 19.23 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon One Media has a beta of 0.48. This indicates as returns on the market go up, One Media average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding One Media iP will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally One Media iP has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   One Media Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for One Media

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as One Media iP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.654.206.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.873.425.97
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.674.216.76
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.100.100.10
Details

One Media Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. One Media is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the One Media's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold One Media iP, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of One Media within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.48
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

One Media Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of One Media for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for One Media iP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
One Media iP is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

One Media Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of One Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential One Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. One Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding261.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.2 M

One Media Technical Analysis

One Media's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. One Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of One Media iP. In general, you should focus on analyzing One Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

One Media Predictive Forecast Models

One Media's time-series forecasting models is one of many One Media's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary One Media's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about One Media iP

Checking the ongoing alerts about One Media for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for One Media iP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
One Media iP is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 24.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for One Stock Analysis

When running One Media's price analysis, check to measure One Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Media is operating at the current time. Most of One Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.