Omkar Speciality (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.83

OMKARCHEM   7.93  0.42  5.03%   
Omkar Speciality's future price is the expected price of Omkar Speciality instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Omkar Speciality Chemicals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Omkar Speciality Backtesting, Omkar Speciality Valuation, Omkar Speciality Correlation, Omkar Speciality Hype Analysis, Omkar Speciality Volatility, Omkar Speciality History as well as Omkar Speciality Performance.
  
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Omkar Speciality Target Price Odds to finish over 21.83

The tendency of Omkar Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  21.83  or more in 90 days
 7.93 90 days 21.83 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Omkar Speciality to move over  21.83  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Omkar Speciality Chemicals probability density function shows the probability of Omkar Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Omkar Speciality Che price to stay between its current price of  7.93  and  21.83  at the end of the 90-day period is under 95 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Omkar Speciality has a beta of 0.49. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Omkar Speciality average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Omkar Speciality Chemicals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Omkar Speciality Chemicals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Omkar Speciality Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Omkar Speciality

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Omkar Speciality Che. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.957.9310.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.267.2410.22
Details

Omkar Speciality Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Omkar Speciality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Omkar Speciality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Omkar Speciality Chemicals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Omkar Speciality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
0.73
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Omkar Speciality Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Omkar Speciality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Omkar Speciality Che can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Omkar Speciality Che generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Omkar Speciality Che has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 193.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (126.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 62.82 M.
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Omkar Speciality Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Omkar Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Omkar Speciality's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Omkar Speciality's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding20.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.3 M

Omkar Speciality Technical Analysis

Omkar Speciality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Omkar Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Omkar Speciality Chemicals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Omkar Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Omkar Speciality Predictive Forecast Models

Omkar Speciality's time-series forecasting models is one of many Omkar Speciality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Omkar Speciality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Omkar Speciality Che

Checking the ongoing alerts about Omkar Speciality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Omkar Speciality Che help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Omkar Speciality Che generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Omkar Speciality Che has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
The company reported the revenue of 193.58 M. Net Loss for the year was (126.05 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 62.82 M.
About 15.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Omkar Stock

Omkar Speciality financial ratios help investors to determine whether Omkar Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Omkar with respect to the benefits of owning Omkar Speciality security.