OOhMedia (Australia) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.22
| OML Stock | 1.22 0.02 1.61% |
OOhMedia |
OOhMedia Target Price Odds to finish below 1.22
The tendency of OOhMedia Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1.22 | 90 days | 1.22 | about 22.74 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OOhMedia to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 22.74 (This oOhMedia probability density function shows the probability of OOhMedia Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OOhMedia has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, OOhMedia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding oOhMedia will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally OOhMedia has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. OOhMedia Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OOhMedia
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as oOhMedia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OOhMedia Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OOhMedia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OOhMedia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold oOhMedia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OOhMedia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
OOhMedia Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OOhMedia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for oOhMedia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| oOhMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| oOhMedia may become a speculative penny stock | |
| oOhMedia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: With 74 percent ownership of the shares, oOhmedia Limited is heavily dominated by institutional owners - Yahoo Finance |
OOhMedia Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OOhMedia Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OOhMedia's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OOhMedia's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 550.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 31.6 M |
OOhMedia Technical Analysis
OOhMedia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OOhMedia Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of oOhMedia. In general, you should focus on analyzing OOhMedia Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OOhMedia Predictive Forecast Models
OOhMedia's time-series forecasting models is one of many OOhMedia's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OOhMedia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about oOhMedia
Checking the ongoing alerts about OOhMedia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for oOhMedia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| oOhMedia generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| oOhMedia may become a speculative penny stock | |
| oOhMedia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 64.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: With 74 percent ownership of the shares, oOhmedia Limited is heavily dominated by institutional owners - Yahoo Finance |
Additional Tools for OOhMedia Stock Analysis
When running OOhMedia's price analysis, check to measure OOhMedia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OOhMedia is operating at the current time. Most of OOhMedia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OOhMedia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OOhMedia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OOhMedia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.