OncoSec Medical Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.43
| ONCSDelisted Stock | USD 0.06 0 3.63% |
OncoSec |
OncoSec Medical Target Price Odds to finish below 0.43
The tendency of OncoSec Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.43 after 90 days |
| 0.06 | 90 days | 0.43 | about 48.65 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OncoSec Medical to stay under $ 0.43 after 90 days from now is about 48.65 (This OncoSec Medical probability density function shows the probability of OncoSec Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OncoSec Medical price to stay between its current price of $ 0.06 and $ 0.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 37.79 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.89 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, OncoSec Medical will likely underperform. Additionally OncoSec Medical has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. OncoSec Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OncoSec Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OncoSec Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of OncoSec Medical's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
OncoSec Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OncoSec Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OncoSec Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OncoSec Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OncoSec Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -3.56 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.89 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
OncoSec Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OncoSec Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OncoSec Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OncoSec Medical is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| OncoSec Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| OncoSec Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (34.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| OncoSec Medical currently holds about 19.48 M in cash with (32.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
OncoSec Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OncoSec Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OncoSec Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OncoSec Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.3 M |
OncoSec Medical Technical Analysis
OncoSec Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OncoSec Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OncoSec Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing OncoSec Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OncoSec Medical Predictive Forecast Models
OncoSec Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many OncoSec Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OncoSec Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OncoSec Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about OncoSec Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OncoSec Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OncoSec Medical is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| OncoSec Medical has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| OncoSec Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (34.18 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| OncoSec Medical currently holds about 19.48 M in cash with (32.14 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.5, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in main economic indicators. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.
Other Consideration for investing in OncoSec Stock
If you are still planning to invest in OncoSec Medical check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the OncoSec Medical's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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