OceanPact Servios (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.0
| OPCT3 Stock | BRL 5.58 0.05 0.89% |
OceanPact |
OceanPact Servios Target Price Odds to finish over 5.0
The tendency of OceanPact Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above R$ 5.00 in 90 days |
| 5.58 | 90 days | 5.00 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OceanPact Servios to stay above R$ 5.00 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This OceanPact Servios Martimos probability density function shows the probability of OceanPact Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OceanPact Servios price to stay between R$ 5.00 and its current price of R$5.58 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OceanPact Servios Martimos has a beta of -0.0716. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OceanPact Servios are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OceanPact Servios Martimos is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OceanPact Servios Martimos has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. OceanPact Servios Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for OceanPact Servios
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OceanPact Servios. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OceanPact Servios Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OceanPact Servios is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OceanPact Servios' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OceanPact Servios Martimos, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OceanPact Servios within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.26 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
OceanPact Servios Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OceanPact Servios for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OceanPact Servios can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OceanPact Servios generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OceanPact Servios has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 882.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 156.91 M. | |
| About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
OceanPact Servios Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of OceanPact Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential OceanPact Servios' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. OceanPact Servios' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 200 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 540.8 M |
OceanPact Servios Technical Analysis
OceanPact Servios' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OceanPact Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OceanPact Servios Martimos. In general, you should focus on analyzing OceanPact Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OceanPact Servios Predictive Forecast Models
OceanPact Servios' time-series forecasting models is one of many OceanPact Servios' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OceanPact Servios' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OceanPact Servios
Checking the ongoing alerts about OceanPact Servios for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OceanPact Servios help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OceanPact Servios generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OceanPact Servios has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 882.24 M. Net Loss for the year was (47.38 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 156.91 M. | |
| About 40.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for OceanPact Stock Analysis
When running OceanPact Servios' price analysis, check to measure OceanPact Servios' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy OceanPact Servios is operating at the current time. Most of OceanPact Servios' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of OceanPact Servios' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move OceanPact Servios' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of OceanPact Servios to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.