OPmobility (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 17.08
| OPM Stock | 9.79 0.08 0.82% |
OPmobility |
OPmobility Target Price Odds to finish over 17.08
The tendency of OPmobility Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 17.08 or more in 90 days |
| 9.79 | 90 days | 17.08 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OPmobility to move over 17.08 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This OPmobility SE probability density function shows the probability of OPmobility Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OPmobility SE price to stay between its current price of 9.79 and 17.08 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.68 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OPmobility SE has a beta of -0.46. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OPmobility are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OPmobility SE is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OPmobility SE has an alpha of 0.3471, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). OPmobility Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for OPmobility
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OPmobility SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OPmobility Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OPmobility is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OPmobility's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OPmobility SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OPmobility within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.35 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.58 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.09 |
OPmobility Technical Analysis
OPmobility's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OPmobility Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OPmobility SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing OPmobility Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OPmobility Predictive Forecast Models
OPmobility's time-series forecasting models is one of many OPmobility's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OPmobility's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards OPmobility in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, OPmobility's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from OPmobility options trading.