Orissa Minerals (India) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5588.75
| ORISSAMINE | 7,197 49.35 0.68% |
Orissa |
Orissa Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 5588.75
The tendency of Orissa Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5,589 in 90 days |
| 7,197 | 90 days | 5,589 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orissa Minerals to stay above 5,589 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This The Orissa Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Orissa Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orissa Minerals price to stay between 5,589 and its current price of 7196.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.61 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Orissa Minerals has a beta of 0.16. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Orissa Minerals average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Orissa Minerals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Orissa Minerals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Orissa Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Orissa Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orissa Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orissa Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Orissa Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orissa Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orissa Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Orissa Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orissa Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.38 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 630.61 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Orissa Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orissa Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orissa Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orissa Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orissa Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock market update Mining stocks up as market rises - The Economic Times |
Orissa Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orissa Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orissa Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orissa Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 247.2 M |
Orissa Minerals Technical Analysis
Orissa Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orissa Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Orissa Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orissa Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orissa Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Orissa Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Orissa Minerals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orissa Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orissa Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orissa Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orissa Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Orissa Minerals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Orissa Minerals generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Stock market update Mining stocks up as market rises - The Economic Times |
Other Information on Investing in Orissa Stock
Orissa Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orissa Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orissa with respect to the benefits of owning Orissa Minerals security.