Orosur Mining Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.01
| OROXF Stock | USD 0.13 0.04 49.43% |
Orosur |
Orosur Mining Target Price Odds to finish below 0.01
The tendency of Orosur Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days |
| 0.13 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 43.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orosur Mining to drop to $ 0.01 or more in 90 days from now is about 43.48 (This Orosur Mining probability density function shows the probability of Orosur Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orosur Mining price to stay between $ 0.01 and its current price of $0.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 56.46 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 65.22 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Orosur Mining will likely underperform. In addition to that Orosur Mining has an alpha of 37.2248, implying that it can generate a 37.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Orosur Mining Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Orosur Mining
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orosur Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Orosur Mining's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Orosur Mining Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orosur Mining is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orosur Mining's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orosur Mining, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orosur Mining within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 37.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 65.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Orosur Mining Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orosur Mining for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orosur Mining can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Orosur Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Orosur Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Orosur Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Orosur Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Orosur Mining has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Orosur Mining until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Orosur Mining's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Orosur Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Orosur to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Orosur Mining's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Orosur Mining has accumulated about 4.31 M in cash with (5.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Orosur Mining Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orosur Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orosur Mining's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orosur Mining's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 188.5 M |
Orosur Mining Technical Analysis
Orosur Mining's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orosur Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orosur Mining. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orosur Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Orosur Mining Predictive Forecast Models
Orosur Mining's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orosur Mining's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orosur Mining's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Orosur Mining
Checking the ongoing alerts about Orosur Mining for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orosur Mining help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Orosur Mining is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Orosur Mining has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Orosur Mining appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Orosur Mining has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Orosur Mining has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company has a current ratio of 0.37, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Orosur Mining until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Orosur Mining's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Orosur Mining sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Orosur to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Orosur Mining's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.11 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Orosur Mining has accumulated about 4.31 M in cash with (5.75 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02. | |
| Roughly 16.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Orosur Pink Sheet
Orosur Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Orosur Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Orosur with respect to the benefits of owning Orosur Mining security.