Orrn Energy (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.0

ORRON Stock   6.76  0.07  1.02%   
Orrn Energy's future price is the expected price of Orrn Energy instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Orrn Energy AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Orrn Energy Backtesting, Orrn Energy Valuation, Orrn Energy Correlation, Orrn Energy Hype Analysis, Orrn Energy Volatility, Orrn Energy History as well as Orrn Energy Performance.
  
Please specify Orrn Energy's target price for which you would like Orrn Energy odds to be computed.

Orrn Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 7.0

The tendency of Orrn Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  7.00  or more in 90 days
 6.76 90 days 7.00 
about 71.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Orrn Energy to move over  7.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.87 (This Orrn Energy AB probability density function shows the probability of Orrn Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Orrn Energy AB price to stay between its current price of  6.76  and  7.00  at the end of the 90-day period is about 9.58 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Orrn Energy AB has a beta of -0.77. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Orrn Energy are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Orrn Energy AB is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Orrn Energy AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Orrn Energy Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Orrn Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Orrn Energy AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.646.768.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.966.088.20
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
4.706.818.93
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.736.826.91
Details

Orrn Energy Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Orrn Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Orrn Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Orrn Energy AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Orrn Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Orrn Energy Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Orrn Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Orrn Energy AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orrn Energy AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orrn Energy AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Orrn Energy Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Orrn Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Orrn Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Orrn Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding285.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments130 M

Orrn Energy Technical Analysis

Orrn Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Orrn Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Orrn Energy AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Orrn Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Orrn Energy Predictive Forecast Models

Orrn Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Orrn Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Orrn Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Orrn Energy AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Orrn Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Orrn Energy AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Orrn Energy AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Orrn Energy AB has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Orrn Stock Analysis

When running Orrn Energy's price analysis, check to measure Orrn Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Orrn Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Orrn Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Orrn Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Orrn Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Orrn Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.