OSOTSPA PCL (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20.50
| OSP-R Stock | 21.60 0.19 0.89% |
OSOTSPA |
OSOTSPA PCL Target Price Odds to finish below 20.50
The tendency of OSOTSPA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 20.50 or more in 90 days |
| 21.60 | 90 days | 20.50 | about 1.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of OSOTSPA PCL to drop to 20.50 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.44 (This OSOTSPA PCL NVDR probability density function shows the probability of OSOTSPA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of OSOTSPA PCL NVDR price to stay between 20.50 and its current price of 21.6 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.17 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon OSOTSPA PCL NVDR has a beta of -0.17. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding OSOTSPA PCL are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, OSOTSPA PCL NVDR is likely to outperform the market. Additionally OSOTSPA PCL NVDR has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. OSOTSPA PCL Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for OSOTSPA PCL
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as OSOTSPA PCL NVDR. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.OSOTSPA PCL Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. OSOTSPA PCL is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the OSOTSPA PCL's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold OSOTSPA PCL NVDR, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of OSOTSPA PCL within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.33 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.17 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.84 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
OSOTSPA PCL Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of OSOTSPA PCL for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for OSOTSPA PCL NVDR can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| OSOTSPA PCL NVDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OSOTSPA PCL NVDR has high historical volatility and very poor performance |
OSOTSPA PCL Technical Analysis
OSOTSPA PCL's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. OSOTSPA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of OSOTSPA PCL NVDR. In general, you should focus on analyzing OSOTSPA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
OSOTSPA PCL Predictive Forecast Models
OSOTSPA PCL's time-series forecasting models is one of many OSOTSPA PCL's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary OSOTSPA PCL's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about OSOTSPA PCL NVDR
Checking the ongoing alerts about OSOTSPA PCL for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for OSOTSPA PCL NVDR help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| OSOTSPA PCL NVDR generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| OSOTSPA PCL NVDR has high historical volatility and very poor performance |