Ocumetics Technology Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.35

OTC Stock   0.33  0.01  3.13%   
Ocumetics Technology's future price is the expected price of Ocumetics Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Ocumetics Technology Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Ocumetics Technology Backtesting, Ocumetics Technology Valuation, Ocumetics Technology Correlation, Ocumetics Technology Hype Analysis, Ocumetics Technology Volatility, Ocumetics Technology History as well as Ocumetics Technology Performance.
  
At this time, Ocumetics Technology's Price Book Value Ratio is fairly stable compared to the past year. Price To Book Ratio is likely to climb to 452.10 in 2024, despite the fact that Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to grow to (0.18). Please specify Ocumetics Technology's target price for which you would like Ocumetics Technology odds to be computed.

Ocumetics Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 0.35

The tendency of Ocumetics Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  0.35  or more in 90 days
 0.33 90 days 0.35 
about 21.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ocumetics Technology to move over  0.35  or more in 90 days from now is about 21.0 (This Ocumetics Technology Corp probability density function shows the probability of Ocumetics Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ocumetics Technology Corp price to stay between its current price of  0.33  and  0.35  at the end of the 90-day period is about 29.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Ocumetics Technology has a beta of 0.42. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Ocumetics Technology average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Ocumetics Technology Corp will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Ocumetics Technology Corp has an alpha of 0.0864, implying that it can generate a 0.0864 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Ocumetics Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Ocumetics Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ocumetics Technology Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.333.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.283.81
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.333.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.290.320.34
Details

Ocumetics Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ocumetics Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ocumetics Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ocumetics Technology Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ocumetics Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Ocumetics Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ocumetics Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ocumetics Technology Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ocumetics Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ocumetics Technology had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (3.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ocumetics Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Ocumetics Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ocumetics Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ocumetics Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ocumetics Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding118.5 M

Ocumetics Technology Technical Analysis

Ocumetics Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ocumetics Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ocumetics Technology Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ocumetics Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Ocumetics Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Ocumetics Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ocumetics Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ocumetics Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Ocumetics Technology Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Ocumetics Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ocumetics Technology Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Ocumetics Technology has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Ocumetics Technology had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Net Loss for the year was (3.64 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0.
Ocumetics Technology generates negative cash flow from operations
About 46.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Ocumetics Stock Analysis

When running Ocumetics Technology's price analysis, check to measure Ocumetics Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ocumetics Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Ocumetics Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ocumetics Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ocumetics Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ocumetics Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.