Otovo AS (Norway) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.08
| OTOVO Stock | NOK 1.00 0.04 4.17% |
Otovo |
Otovo AS Target Price Odds to finish over 6.08
The tendency of Otovo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 6.08 or more in 90 days |
| 1.00 | 90 days | 6.08 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Otovo AS to move over 6.08 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Otovo AS probability density function shows the probability of Otovo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Otovo AS price to stay between its current price of 1.00 and 6.08 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Otovo AS has a beta of -0.0392. This indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Otovo AS are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Otovo AS is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Otovo AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Otovo AS Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Otovo AS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Otovo AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Otovo AS Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Otovo AS is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Otovo AS's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Otovo AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Otovo AS within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Otovo AS Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Otovo AS for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Otovo AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Otovo AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Otovo AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Otovo AS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Otovo AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 289.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (153.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129.11 M. | |
| Otovo AS has accumulated about 224.19 M in cash with (136.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Otovo AS Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Otovo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Otovo AS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Otovo AS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 224.2 M |
Otovo AS Technical Analysis
Otovo AS's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Otovo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Otovo AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Otovo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Otovo AS Predictive Forecast Models
Otovo AS's time-series forecasting models is one of many Otovo AS's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Otovo AS's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Otovo AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Otovo AS for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Otovo AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Otovo AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Otovo AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Otovo AS has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Otovo AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 289.4 M. Net Loss for the year was (153.61 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 129.11 M. | |
| Otovo AS has accumulated about 224.19 M in cash with (136.02 M) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 45.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Otovo Stock
Otovo AS financial ratios help investors to determine whether Otovo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Otovo with respect to the benefits of owning Otovo AS security.