Oyak Cimento (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 21.69
| OYAKC Stock | TRY 21.52 0.02 0.09% |
Oyak |
Oyak Cimento Target Price Odds to finish below 21.69
The tendency of Oyak Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 21.69 after 90 days |
| 21.52 | 90 days | 21.69 | about 98.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oyak Cimento to stay under 21.69 after 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari probability density function shows the probability of Oyak Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari price to stay between its current price of 21.52 and 21.69 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Oyak Cimento has a beta of 0.11. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oyak Cimento average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari has an alpha of 0.4229, implying that it can generate a 0.42 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Oyak Cimento Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Oyak Cimento
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oyak Cimento's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oyak Cimento Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oyak Cimento is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oyak Cimento's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oyak Cimento within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.42 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Oyak Cimento Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oyak Cimento for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Oyak Cimento Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Oyak Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Oyak Cimento's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oyak Cimento's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 B |
Oyak Cimento Technical Analysis
Oyak Cimento's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oyak Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oyak Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Oyak Cimento Predictive Forecast Models
Oyak Cimento's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oyak Cimento's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oyak Cimento's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari
Checking the ongoing alerts about Oyak Cimento for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oyak Cimento Fabrikalari help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 73.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Oyak Stock
Oyak Cimento financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oyak Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oyak with respect to the benefits of owning Oyak Cimento security.