Oppenheimer Moderate Invstr Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 13.76

OYMIX Fund  USD 11.25  0.06  0.54%   
Oppenheimer Moderate's future price is the expected price of Oppenheimer Moderate instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Oppenheimer Moderate Invstr performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Oppenheimer Moderate Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Oppenheimer Moderate Correlation, Oppenheimer Moderate Hype Analysis, Oppenheimer Moderate Volatility, Oppenheimer Moderate History as well as Oppenheimer Moderate Performance.
  
Please specify Oppenheimer Moderate's target price for which you would like Oppenheimer Moderate odds to be computed.

Oppenheimer Moderate Target Price Odds to finish over 13.76

The tendency of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 13.76  or more in 90 days
 11.25 90 days 13.76 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Oppenheimer Moderate to move over $ 13.76  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Oppenheimer Moderate Invstr probability density function shows the probability of Oppenheimer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Oppenheimer Moderate price to stay between its current price of $ 11.25  and $ 13.76  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Oppenheimer Moderate has a beta of 0.5. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Oppenheimer Moderate average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Oppenheimer Moderate Invstr will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Oppenheimer Moderate Invstr has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Oppenheimer Moderate Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Oppenheimer Moderate

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oppenheimer Moderate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.5611.2511.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.6511.3412.03
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.2210.9111.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3011.8312.36
Details

Oppenheimer Moderate Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Oppenheimer Moderate is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Oppenheimer Moderate's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Oppenheimer Moderate Invstr, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Oppenheimer Moderate within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.13

Oppenheimer Moderate Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Oppenheimer Moderate for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Oppenheimer Moderate can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oppenheimer Moderate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 8.46% of its assets in bonds

Oppenheimer Moderate Technical Analysis

Oppenheimer Moderate's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Oppenheimer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Oppenheimer Moderate Invstr. In general, you should focus on analyzing Oppenheimer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Oppenheimer Moderate Predictive Forecast Models

Oppenheimer Moderate's time-series forecasting models is one of many Oppenheimer Moderate's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Oppenheimer Moderate's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Oppenheimer Moderate

Checking the ongoing alerts about Oppenheimer Moderate for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Oppenheimer Moderate help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Oppenheimer Moderate generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The fund maintains about 8.46% of its assets in bonds

Other Information on Investing in Oppenheimer Mutual Fund

Oppenheimer Moderate financial ratios help investors to determine whether Oppenheimer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Oppenheimer with respect to the benefits of owning Oppenheimer Moderate security.
Portfolio Dashboard
Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Economic Indicators
Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing
Portfolio Holdings
Check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing