Princeton Adaptive Premium Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 10.4

PAPIX Fund  USD 10.12  0.01  0.1%   
Princeton Adaptive's future price is the expected price of Princeton Adaptive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Princeton Adaptive Premium performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Princeton Adaptive Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Princeton Adaptive Correlation, Princeton Adaptive Hype Analysis, Princeton Adaptive Volatility, Princeton Adaptive History as well as Princeton Adaptive Performance.
  
Please specify Princeton Adaptive's target price for which you would like Princeton Adaptive odds to be computed.

Princeton Adaptive Target Price Odds to finish below 10.4

The tendency of Princeton Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 10.40  after 90 days
 10.12 90 days 10.40 
about 87.77
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Princeton Adaptive to stay under $ 10.40  after 90 days from now is about 87.77 (This Princeton Adaptive Premium probability density function shows the probability of Princeton Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Princeton Adaptive price to stay between its current price of $ 10.12  and $ 10.40  at the end of the 90-day period is about 87.88 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Princeton Adaptive has a beta of 0.0473 indicating as returns on the market go up, Princeton Adaptive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Princeton Adaptive Premium will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Princeton Adaptive Premium has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Princeton Adaptive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Princeton Adaptive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Princeton Adaptive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.7710.1210.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.8010.1510.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.629.9710.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.9510.2310.51
Details

Princeton Adaptive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Princeton Adaptive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Princeton Adaptive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Princeton Adaptive Premium, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Princeton Adaptive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.05
σ
Overall volatility
0.08
Ir
Information ratio -0.34

Princeton Adaptive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Princeton Adaptive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Princeton Adaptive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Princeton Adaptive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Princeton Adaptive Technical Analysis

Princeton Adaptive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Princeton Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Princeton Adaptive Premium. In general, you should focus on analyzing Princeton Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Princeton Adaptive Predictive Forecast Models

Princeton Adaptive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Princeton Adaptive's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Princeton Adaptive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Princeton Adaptive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Princeton Adaptive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Princeton Adaptive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Princeton Adaptive generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Princeton Mutual Fund

Princeton Adaptive financial ratios help investors to determine whether Princeton Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Princeton with respect to the benefits of owning Princeton Adaptive security.
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