Parlem Telecom (Spain) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.4

PAR Stock   3.40  0.08  2.41%   
Parlem Telecom's future price is the expected price of Parlem Telecom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Parlem Telecom Companyia performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Parlem Telecom Backtesting, Parlem Telecom Valuation, Parlem Telecom Correlation, Parlem Telecom Hype Analysis, Parlem Telecom Volatility, Parlem Telecom History as well as Parlem Telecom Performance.
  
Please specify Parlem Telecom's target price for which you would like Parlem Telecom odds to be computed.

Parlem Telecom Target Price Odds to finish over 3.4

The tendency of Parlem Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.40 90 days 3.40 
about 38.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Parlem Telecom to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 38.14 (This Parlem Telecom Companyia probability density function shows the probability of Parlem Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Parlem Telecom Companyia has a beta of -0.14 indicating as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Parlem Telecom are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Parlem Telecom Companyia is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Parlem Telecom Companyia has an alpha of 0.0667, implying that it can generate a 0.0667 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Parlem Telecom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Parlem Telecom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Parlem Telecom ia. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.623.405.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.042.824.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.563.345.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.293.363.44
Details

Parlem Telecom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Parlem Telecom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Parlem Telecom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Parlem Telecom Companyia, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Parlem Telecom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.07
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.14
σ
Overall volatility
0.1
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Parlem Telecom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Parlem Telecom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Parlem Telecom ia can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parlem Telecom ia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Parlem Telecom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Parlem Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Parlem Telecom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Parlem Telecom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float10.8 M

Parlem Telecom Technical Analysis

Parlem Telecom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Parlem Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Parlem Telecom Companyia. In general, you should focus on analyzing Parlem Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Parlem Telecom Predictive Forecast Models

Parlem Telecom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Parlem Telecom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Parlem Telecom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Parlem Telecom ia

Checking the ongoing alerts about Parlem Telecom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Parlem Telecom ia help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Parlem Telecom ia has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Other Information on Investing in Parlem Stock

Parlem Telecom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Parlem Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Parlem with respect to the benefits of owning Parlem Telecom security.