Pargesa Holding SA Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.01
| PARGDelisted Stock | 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Pargesa |
Pargesa Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 0.01
The tendency of Pargesa Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.01 in 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | over 95.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pargesa Holding to stay above 0.01 in 90 days from now is over 95.38 (This Pargesa Holding SA probability density function shows the probability of Pargesa Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Pargesa Holding SA price to stay between 0.01 and its current price of 0.0102 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Pargesa Holding SA has a beta of -2.19 indicating as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Pargesa Holding SA are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Pargesa Holding is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Pargesa Holding SA has an alpha of 0.8652, implying that it can generate a 0.87 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pargesa Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pargesa Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pargesa Holding SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Pargesa Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pargesa Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pargesa Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pargesa Holding SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pargesa Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.87 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.19 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.07 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Pargesa Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pargesa Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pargesa Holding SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pargesa Holding SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Pargesa Holding SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pargesa Holding SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (5.01 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Pargesa Holding generates negative cash flow from operations |
Pargesa Holding Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pargesa Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pargesa Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pargesa Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 197.3 K |
Pargesa Holding Technical Analysis
Pargesa Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pargesa Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pargesa Holding SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pargesa Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pargesa Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Pargesa Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Pargesa Holding's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pargesa Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pargesa Holding SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pargesa Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pargesa Holding SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pargesa Holding SA is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Pargesa Holding SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Pargesa Holding SA has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (5.01 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Pargesa Holding generates negative cash flow from operations |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in metropolitan statistical area. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Other Consideration for investing in Pargesa Pink Sheet
If you are still planning to invest in Pargesa Holding SA check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Pargesa Holding's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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