PCC Rokita (Poland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 78.43
| PCR Stock | 71.30 0.70 0.97% |
PCC |
PCC Rokita Target Price Odds to finish over 78.43
The tendency of PCC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 78.43 or more in 90 days |
| 71.30 | 90 days | 78.43 | about 67.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PCC Rokita to move over 78.43 or more in 90 days from now is about 67.41 (This PCC Rokita SA probability density function shows the probability of PCC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PCC Rokita SA price to stay between its current price of 71.30 and 78.43 at the end of the 90-day period is about 31.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PCC Rokita has a beta of 0.21 indicating as returns on the market go up, PCC Rokita average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PCC Rokita SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PCC Rokita SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. PCC Rokita Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for PCC Rokita
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PCC Rokita SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of PCC Rokita's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
PCC Rokita Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PCC Rokita is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PCC Rokita's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PCC Rokita SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PCC Rokita within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.4 |
PCC Rokita Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PCC Rokita for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PCC Rokita SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| PCC Rokita SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
PCC Rokita Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PCC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PCC Rokita's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PCC Rokita's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 31.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 322.2 M |
PCC Rokita Technical Analysis
PCC Rokita's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PCC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PCC Rokita SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing PCC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
PCC Rokita Predictive Forecast Models
PCC Rokita's time-series forecasting models is one of many PCC Rokita's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PCC Rokita's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about PCC Rokita SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about PCC Rokita for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PCC Rokita SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| PCC Rokita SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 84.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Additional Tools for PCC Stock Analysis
When running PCC Rokita's price analysis, check to measure PCC Rokita's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy PCC Rokita is operating at the current time. Most of PCC Rokita's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of PCC Rokita's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move PCC Rokita's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of PCC Rokita to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.