Paradox Interactive (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 160.84

PDX Stock  SEK 196.90  0.10  0.05%   
Paradox Interactive's future price is the expected price of Paradox Interactive instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Paradox Interactive AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Paradox Interactive Backtesting, Paradox Interactive Valuation, Paradox Interactive Correlation, Paradox Interactive Hype Analysis, Paradox Interactive Volatility, Paradox Interactive History as well as Paradox Interactive Performance.
  
Please specify Paradox Interactive's target price for which you would like Paradox Interactive odds to be computed.

Paradox Interactive Target Price Odds to finish below 160.84

The tendency of Paradox Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to kr 160.84  or more in 90 days
 196.90 90 days 160.84 
roughly 2.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Paradox Interactive to drop to kr 160.84  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.15 (This Paradox Interactive AB probability density function shows the probability of Paradox Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Paradox Interactive price to stay between kr 160.84  and its current price of kr196.9 at the end of the 90-day period is about 80.31 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Paradox Interactive has a beta of 0.24 indicating as returns on the market go up, Paradox Interactive average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Paradox Interactive AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Paradox Interactive AB has an alpha of 0.2426, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Paradox Interactive Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Paradox Interactive

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Paradox Interactive. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
195.32196.90198.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
175.63177.21216.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
205.49207.07208.65
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
178.74192.57206.41
Details

Paradox Interactive Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Paradox Interactive is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Paradox Interactive's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Paradox Interactive AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Paradox Interactive within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.24
σ
Overall volatility
12.21
Ir
Information ratio 0.1

Paradox Interactive Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Paradox Interactive for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Paradox Interactive can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Paradox Interactive Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Paradox Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Paradox Interactive's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Paradox Interactive's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding105.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments747.5 M

Paradox Interactive Technical Analysis

Paradox Interactive's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Paradox Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Paradox Interactive AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Paradox Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Paradox Interactive Predictive Forecast Models

Paradox Interactive's time-series forecasting models is one of many Paradox Interactive's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Paradox Interactive's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Paradox Interactive

Checking the ongoing alerts about Paradox Interactive for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Paradox Interactive help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 56.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Paradox Stock Analysis

When running Paradox Interactive's price analysis, check to measure Paradox Interactive's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Paradox Interactive is operating at the current time. Most of Paradox Interactive's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Paradox Interactive's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Paradox Interactive's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Paradox Interactive to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.