Patterson-UTI Energy (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 4.99
| PE1 Stock | EUR 7.90 0.05 0.64% |
Patterson-UTI |
Patterson-UTI Energy Target Price Odds to finish below 4.99
The tendency of Patterson-UTI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 4.99 or more in 90 days |
| 7.90 | 90 days | 4.99 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Patterson-UTI Energy to drop to € 4.99 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Patterson UTI Energy probability density function shows the probability of Patterson-UTI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Patterson UTI Energy price to stay between € 4.99 and its current price of €7.9 at the end of the 90-day period is more than 94.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Patterson-UTI Energy has a beta of 0.99 indicating Patterson UTI Energy market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Patterson-UTI Energy is expected to follow. Additionally Patterson UTI Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Patterson-UTI Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Patterson-UTI Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Patterson UTI Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Patterson-UTI Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Patterson-UTI Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Patterson-UTI Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Patterson UTI Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Patterson-UTI Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.99 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Patterson-UTI Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Patterson-UTI Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Patterson UTI Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Patterson-UTI Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Patterson-UTI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Patterson-UTI Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Patterson-UTI Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 213.6 M |
Patterson-UTI Energy Technical Analysis
Patterson-UTI Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Patterson-UTI Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Patterson UTI Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Patterson-UTI Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Patterson-UTI Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Patterson-UTI Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Patterson-UTI Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Patterson-UTI Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Patterson UTI Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Patterson-UTI Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Patterson UTI Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Patterson-UTI Stock
When determining whether Patterson UTI Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Patterson-UTI Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Patterson Uti Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Patterson Uti Energy Stock:Check out Patterson-UTI Energy Backtesting, Patterson-UTI Energy Valuation, Patterson-UTI Energy Correlation, Patterson-UTI Energy Hype Analysis, Patterson-UTI Energy Volatility, Patterson-UTI Energy History as well as Patterson-UTI Energy Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Patterson-UTI Stock please use our How to Invest in Patterson-UTI Energy guide.You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.