Private Equity (Switzerland) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 64.86

PEHN Stock  CHF 71.00  1.00  1.43%   
Private Equity's future price is the expected price of Private Equity instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Private Equity Holding performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Private Equity Backtesting, Private Equity Valuation, Private Equity Correlation, Private Equity Hype Analysis, Private Equity Volatility, Private Equity History as well as Private Equity Performance.
  
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Private Equity Target Price Odds to finish below 64.86

The tendency of Private Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to ₣ 64.86  or more in 90 days
 71.00 90 days 64.86 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Private Equity to drop to ₣ 64.86  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Private Equity Holding probability density function shows the probability of Private Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Private Equity Holding price to stay between ₣ 64.86  and its current price of ₣71.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.56 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Private Equity has a beta of 0.26 indicating as returns on the market go up, Private Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Private Equity Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Private Equity Holding has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Private Equity Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Private Equity

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Private Equity Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
69.6271.0072.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
69.3770.7572.13
Details

Private Equity Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Private Equity is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Private Equity's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Private Equity Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Private Equity within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

Private Equity Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Private Equity for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Private Equity Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Private Equity Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Private Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Private Equity's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Private Equity's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding2.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments310 K

Private Equity Technical Analysis

Private Equity's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Private Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Private Equity Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing Private Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Private Equity Predictive Forecast Models

Private Equity's time-series forecasting models is one of many Private Equity's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Private Equity's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Private Equity Holding

Checking the ongoing alerts about Private Equity for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Private Equity Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders

Additional Tools for Private Stock Analysis

When running Private Equity's price analysis, check to measure Private Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Private Equity is operating at the current time. Most of Private Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Private Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Private Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Private Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.