Penguen Gida (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.45
| PENGD Stock | TRY 6.82 0.04 0.58% |
Penguen |
Penguen Gida Target Price Odds to finish over 5.45
The tendency of Penguen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 5.45 in 90 days |
| 6.82 | 90 days | 5.45 | about 99.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Penguen Gida to stay above 5.45 in 90 days from now is about 99.0 (This Penguen Gida Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Penguen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Penguen Gida Sanayi price to stay between 5.45 and its current price of 6.82 at the end of the 90-day period is about 75.14 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Penguen Gida has a beta of 0.18 indicating as returns on the market go up, Penguen Gida average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Penguen Gida Sanayi will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Penguen Gida Sanayi has an alpha of 0.024, implying that it can generate a 0.024 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Penguen Gida Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Penguen Gida
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Penguen Gida Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Penguen Gida's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Penguen Gida Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Penguen Gida is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Penguen Gida's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Penguen Gida Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Penguen Gida within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Penguen Gida Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Penguen Gida for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Penguen Gida Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Penguen Gida Sanayi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Penguen Gida Sanayi has accumulated 1.71 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 337.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Penguen Gida Sanayi has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Penguen Gida until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Penguen Gida's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Penguen Gida Sanayi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Penguen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Penguen Gida's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Penguen Gida Sanayi has accumulated about 2.23 M in cash with (55.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of Penguen Gida outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Penguen Gida Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Penguen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Penguen Gida's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Penguen Gida's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175 M |
Penguen Gida Technical Analysis
Penguen Gida's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Penguen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Penguen Gida Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Penguen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Penguen Gida Predictive Forecast Models
Penguen Gida's time-series forecasting models is one of many Penguen Gida's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Penguen Gida's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Penguen Gida Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Penguen Gida for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Penguen Gida Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Penguen Gida Sanayi has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Penguen Gida Sanayi has accumulated 1.71 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 337.9, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Penguen Gida Sanayi has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Penguen Gida until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Penguen Gida's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Penguen Gida Sanayi sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Penguen to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Penguen Gida's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Penguen Gida Sanayi has accumulated about 2.23 M in cash with (55.62 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.04. | |
| Roughly 28.0% of Penguen Gida outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Penguen Stock
Penguen Gida financial ratios help investors to determine whether Penguen Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Penguen with respect to the benefits of owning Penguen Gida security.