Perion Network Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.99
| PERI Stock | USD 8.37 0.01 0.12% |
Perion |
Perion Network Target Price Odds to finish below 1.99
The tendency of Perion Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 1.99 or more in 90 days |
| 8.37 | 90 days | 1.99 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Perion Network to drop to $ 1.99 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Perion Network probability density function shows the probability of Perion Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Perion Network price to stay between $ 1.99 and its current price of $8.37 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.93 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Perion Network has a beta of 0.44 indicating as returns on the market go up, Perion Network average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Perion Network will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Perion Network has an alpha of 0.0448, implying that it can generate a 0.0448 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Perion Network Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Perion Network
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Perion Network. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Perion Network Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Perion Network is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Perion Network's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Perion Network, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Perion Network within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.44 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.01 |
Perion Network Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Perion Network for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Perion Network can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Perion Network is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Perion partners with Experian to elevate cross-channel targeting and attribution |
Perion Network Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Perion Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Perion Network's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Perion Network's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 472.7 M |
Perion Network Technical Analysis
Perion Network's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Perion Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Perion Network. In general, you should focus on analyzing Perion Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Perion Network Predictive Forecast Models
Perion Network's time-series forecasting models is one of many Perion Network's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Perion Network's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Perion Network
Checking the ongoing alerts about Perion Network for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Perion Network help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Perion Network is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 56.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Perion partners with Experian to elevate cross-channel targeting and attribution |
Check out Perion Network Backtesting, Perion Network Valuation, Perion Network Correlation, Perion Network Hype Analysis, Perion Network Volatility, Perion Network History as well as Perion Network Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Perion Stock please use our How to Invest in Perion Network guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Is Advertising space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Perion Network. If investors know Perion will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Perion Network listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.94) | Earnings Share 0.92 | Revenue Per Share 12.582 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) | Return On Assets 0.0295 |
The market value of Perion Network is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Perion that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Perion Network's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Perion Network's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Perion Network's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Perion Network's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Perion Network's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Perion Network is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Perion Network's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.